@font-face{font-family:Inter;font-style:normal;font-weight:100 900;font-display:swap;src:url(/_next/static/media/ba9851c3c22cd980-s.woff2) format("woff2");unicode-range:u+0460-052f,u+1c80-1c8a,u+20b4,u+2de0-2dff,u+a640-a69f,u+fe2e-fe2f}@font-face{font-family:Inter;font-style:normal;font-weight:100 900;font-display:swap;src:url(/_next/static/media/21350d82a1f187e9-s.woff2) format("woff2");unicode-range:u+0301,u+0400-045f,u+0490-0491,u+04b0-04b1,u+2116}@font-face{font-family:Inter;font-style:normal;font-weight:100 900;font-display:swap;src:url(/_next/static/media/c5fe6dc8356a8c31-s.woff2) format("woff2");unicode-range:u+1f??}@font-face{font-family:Inter;font-style:normal;font-weight:100 900;font-display:swap;src:url(/_next/static/media/19cfc7226ec3afaa-s.woff2) format("woff2");unicode-range:u+0370-0377,u+037a-037f,u+0384-038a,u+038c,u+038e-03a1,u+03a3-03ff}@font-face{font-family:Inter;font-style:normal;font-weight:100 900;font-display:swap;src:url(/_next/static/media/df0a9ae256c0569c-s.woff2) format("woff2");unicode-range:u+0102-0103,u+0110-0111,u+0128-0129,u+0168-0169,u+01a0-01a1,u+01af-01b0,u+0300-0301,u+0303-0304,u+0308-0309,u+0323,u+0329,u+1ea0-1ef9,u+20ab}@font-face{font-family:Inter;font-style:normal;font-weight:100 900;font-display:swap;src:url(/_next/static/media/8e9860b6e62d6359-s.woff2) format("woff2");unicode-range:u+0100-02ba,u+02bd-02c5,u+02c7-02cc,u+02ce-02d7,u+02dd-02ff,u+0304,u+0308,u+0329,u+1d00-1dbf,u+1e00-1e9f,u+1ef2-1eff,u+2020,u+20a0-20ab,u+20ad-20c4,u+2113,u+2c60-2c7f,u+a720-a7ff}@font-face{font-family:Inter;font-style:normal;font-weight:100 900;font-display:swap;src:url(/_next/static/media/e4af272ccee01ff0-s.p.woff2) format("woff2");unicode-range:u+00??,u+0131,u+0152-0153,u+02bb-02bc,u+02c6,u+02da,u+02dc,u+0304,u+0308,u+0329,u+2000-206f,u+20ac,u+2122,u+2191,u+2193,u+2212,u+2215,u+feff,u+fffd}@font-face{font-family:Inter Fallback;src:local("Arial");ascent-override:90.44%;descent-override:22.52%;line-gap-override:0.00%;size-adjust:107.12%}.__className_d8ebd1{font-family:Inter,Inter Fallback;font-style:normal}.__variable_d8ebd1{--font-inter:"Inter","Inter Fallback"}.SiteFooter_footer__aUaTs{background:var(--bg-alt);border-top:1px solid var(--line)}.SiteFooter_inner__23SNm{display:grid;grid-gap:.6rem;gap:.6rem;padding-top:2.2rem;padding-bottom:2.6rem;font-size:.8125rem;color:var(--text-2)}.SiteFooter_inner__23SNm p{margin:0;max-width:72ch}.SiteFooter_name__1U2ET{font-weight:650;color:var(--text);font-size:.875rem}:root{--bg:#ffffff;--bg-alt:#f5f6f7;--bg-deep:#0b1520;--text:#16191d;--text-2:#4b5560;--text-3:#7d8792;--line:#e3e6e9;--line-2:#cfd4d9;--accent:#0a62b8;--accent-hover:#084f95;--accent-soft:#e8f1fb;--alert:#b24a2a;--alert-soft:#fbf1ec;--data-light:#9cc0df;--font:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,var(--font-inter),"Segoe UI",Roboto,"Helvetica Neue",Arial,sans-serif;--measure:68ch;--wide:1200px;--gutter:clamp(1.25rem,4vw,2.5rem);--radius:18px;--radius-s:10px;color-scheme:light}*{box-sizing:border-box}html{-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;scroll-padding-top:64px}body{margin:0;background:var(--bg);color:var(--text);font-family:var(--font);font-size:1.0625rem;line-height:1.6;letter-spacing:-.003em;-webkit-font-smoothing:antialiased;-moz-osx-font-smoothing:grayscale;text-rendering:optimizeLegibility}canvas,img,svg{max-width:100%;display:block}a{color:var(--accent);text-decoration:none}a:hover{color:var(--accent-hover);text-decoration:underline;text-underline-offset:.18em;text-decoration-thickness:1px}:focus-visible{outline:2px solid var(--accent);outline-offset:3px;border-radius:4px}::selection{background:#cfe3f7}h1,h2,h3,h4{margin:0;color:var(--text);font-weight:650;text-wrap:balance}.display{font-size:clamp(2.6rem,6vw,4.75rem);line-height:1.03;letter-spacing:-.035em;font-weight:700}.h1,h1{font-size:clamp(2.2rem,4.6vw,3.6rem);line-height:1.06;letter-spacing:-.03em}.h1,.h2,h1,h2{font-weight:700}.h2,h2{font-size:clamp(1.75rem,3.2vw,2.6rem);line-height:1.1;letter-spacing:-.025em}.h3,h3{font-size:1.3rem;line-height:1.25;letter-spacing:-.015em;font-weight:650}.lede{font-size:clamp(1.15rem,1.8vw,1.4rem);line-height:1.45;color:var(--text-2);letter-spacing:-.012em;max-width:46ch}.kicker{font-size:1rem;color:var(--accent);letter-spacing:-.01em;margin:0}.kicker,.label{font-weight:600}.label{font-size:.8125rem;color:var(--text-2);letter-spacing:0}.tnum{font-feature-settings:"tnum";font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}.muted{color:var(--text-2)}.faint{color:var(--text-3)}.small{font-size:.875rem;line-height:1.55}.wrap{width:100%;max-width:var(--wide);margin:0 auto;padding:0 var(--gutter)}.narrow{max-width:780px}.prose{max-width:var(--measure);font-size:1.125rem;line-height:1.65}.prose p{margin:0 0 1.1em}.prose h2{font-size:clamp(1.5rem,2.4vw,1.9rem);margin:2.4em 0 .6em}.prose h3{font-size:1.2rem;margin:1.9em 0 .4em}.prose ol,.prose ul{padding-left:1.2em;margin:0 0 1.1em}.prose li{margin-bottom:.45em}.prose li::marker{color:var(--text-3)}.prose strong{font-weight:650}.prose blockquote{margin:1.5em 0;padding-left:1.1em;border-left:3px solid var(--line-2);color:var(--text-2)}.section{padding:clamp(4rem,9vw,7.5rem) 0}.section--alt{background:var(--bg-alt)}.evidence{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:.45em;font-size:.8125rem;font-weight:600;color:var(--text-2)}.evidence:before{content:"";width:8px;height:8px;border-radius:50%;background:currentColor}.evidence--obs{color:#1b7a5a}.evidence--model{color:var(--accent)}.evidence--caveat{color:var(--alert)}.evidence--forecast{color:#6b4bb0}.button{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;gap:.4em;font:500 1rem/1 var(--font);letter-spacing:-.01em;padding:.8em 1.35em;border-radius:999px;border:0;background:var(--accent);cursor:pointer;transition:background .15s ease}.button,.button:hover{color:#fff;text-decoration:none}.button:hover{background:var(--accent-hover)}.button--secondary{background:transparent;color:var(--accent);box-shadow:inset 0 0 0 1px var(--accent)}.button--secondary:hover{background:var(--accent-soft);color:var(--accent-hover)}.more{font-weight:500;white-space:nowrap}.more:after{content:" ›"}@media (max-width:480px){.more{white-space:normal}}.aside-note{font-size:.9375rem;line-height:1.55;color:var(--text-2);background:var(--bg-alt);border-radius:var(--radius-s);padding:1rem 1.15rem}.aside-note--caveat{background:#fbf1ec;color:#6e3420}details.disclosure{border-top:1px solid var(--line);padding:1.1rem 0}details.disclosure:last-of-type{border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}details.disclosure>summary{cursor:pointer;list-style:none;font-weight:600;font-size:1.0625rem;display:flex;justify-content:space-between;align-items:center;gap:1rem}details.disclosure>summary::-webkit-details-marker{display:none}details.disclosure>summary:after{content:"+";font-weight:400;font-size:1.4rem;line-height:1;color:var(--text-3)}details.disclosure[open]>summary:after{content:"−"}@media (prefers-reduced-motion:reduce){*,:after,:before{animation-duration:.01ms!important;transition-duration:.01ms!important;scroll-behavior:auto!important}}.maplibregl-ctrl-attrib{background:rgba(255,255,255,.8)!important;font-size:10.5px!important}.maplibregl-ctrl-attrib,.maplibregl-ctrl-attrib a{color:var(--text-3)!important}.maplibregl-ctrl-group{box-shadow:0 1px 4px rgba(0,0,0,.12)!important;border:0!important;border-radius:8px!important}.maplibregl-canvas:focus-visible{outline:2px solid var(--accent);outline-offset:-2px}.maplibregl-cooperative-gesture-screen{background:rgba(11,21,32,.5)!important;color:#fff!important;font:500 .95rem/1.4 var(--font)!important}.skip{position:absolute;left:-999px;top:.5rem;z-index:100;background:var(--text);color:#fff;padding:.6rem .9rem;border-radius:8px}.skip:focus{left:.75rem;color:#fff}.visually-hidden{position:absolute!important;width:1px;height:1px;overflow:hidden;clip:rect(0 0 0 0);white-space:nowrap}.SiteHeader_header__SRb_V{position:-webkit-sticky;position:sticky;top:0;z-index:50;background:rgba(255,255,255,.82);backdrop-filter:saturate(1.8) blur(20px);-webkit-backdrop-filter:saturate(1.8) blur(20px);border-bottom:1px solid rgba(0,0,0,.08)}.SiteHeader_inner__d66lA{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;gap:1.5rem;height:52px}.SiteHeader_mark__d_gib{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:.55rem;font-weight:650;font-size:1.0625rem;letter-spacing:-.02em;white-space:nowrap}.SiteHeader_mark__d_gib,.SiteHeader_mark__d_gib:hover{color:var(--text);text-decoration:none}.SiteHeader_nav__5IxZo{list-style:none;display:flex;gap:clamp(1rem,2.6vw,2.1rem);margin:0;padding:0}.SiteHeader_nav__5IxZo a{font-size:.875rem;white-space:nowrap;color:var(--text-2);text-decoration:none}.SiteHeader_nav__5IxZo a:hover{color:var(--text);text-decoration:none}.SiteHeader_active__l07ft{color:var(--text)!important;font-weight:600}@media (max-width:640px){.SiteHeader_inner__d66lA{height:auto;padding-top:.6rem;padding-bottom:.6rem;flex-wrap:wrap;row-gap:.35rem}.SiteHeader_inner__d66lA>nav{min-width:0;max-width:100%;width:100%}.SiteHeader_nav__5IxZo{gap:1rem;flex-wrap:nowrap;overflow-x:auto;white-space:nowrap;max-width:100%;scrollbar-width:none}.SiteHeader_nav__5IxZo::-webkit-scrollbar{display:none}}.SiteHeader_logo__tLEBq{flex:none;display:block}